Novato Real Estate Market Update (February 2010 Home Sales Report)

February 13, 2010

The frenetic Novato, California real estate market slowed (at least in terms of closed sales) in January 2010. We had 25 sales, compared with 42 sales in December. The average sales price of Novato homes in January 2010 was $525,440. These homes averaged 97 days on market, were about 1,763 sq. ft., and averaged roughly $309 sq. ft. Novato’s absorption rate (e.g., number of months’ inventory of homes for sale based on last month’s sales totals) has dipped to historically low levels — a scant 3.76 months worth of available inventory overall (94 single family homes are currently for sale in Novato). Below are the percentages of homes in escrow in each of Novato’s major price bands: 
  • 86% of homes priced under $500,000 (67% last month);
  • 59% of homes between $501,000 and $600,000 (66% last month);
  • 47% of homes between $601,000 and $750,000 (42% last month);
  • 43% of homes between $751,000 and $1 million (33%  last month);
  • 25% of homes between $1 million and $1.5 million (24% last month);
  • 0% of homes between $1.5 million and up.
Amazingly, out of 42 homes on the market under $500,000, only 6 are not in escrow — this is simply amazing! January closings definitely reflect the fact that “value” oriented buyers were out shopping in in December (considered by many buyers agents to be the best month for clients focused on value to put pen to paper):
  • 20 homes priced under $600,000 sold in January 2010
  • 4 homes priced from $601,00 to $1 million sold in January 2010
  • 1 home priced from $1 million and up sold in January 2010
Homes in Pointe Marin, Country Club, Hamilton Field, Rush Creek, and Bel Marin Keys generated the most calls and showings this past month. My listing at 94 Maybeck Street, Novato (priced at $842,000) went into escrow after just 10 days on the market. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your Novato neighborhood or if you have any questions about Novato’s many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Realtor, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate (Pacific Union International). It is always my pleasure to be of service.

The Landing at Hamilton Field, located adjacent to South Gate, is scheduled to begin pouring foundations for the model homes (there will be 3 models) in February 2010. The models are expected to open in May 2010, and the first homes will be ready for occupancy in July 2010. Pricing will begin in the mid-$800,000’s. Interest surrounding this new luxury community has been significant. Please call me at (415) 350-9440 for more information. Or visit our website at www.TheLandingNovato.com.

The Landing at Hamilton | New Homes | Novato

January 24, 2010

Hamilton Field, Novato’s final residential development, is a secluded enclave of luxurious homes reflecting timeless style and contemporary conveniences. These thoughtfully designed homes focus on sophistication, beauty, and community. Residents will enjoy spacious and refined interior spaces, along with the peace of mind associated with living in such a charming neighborhood adjacent to a rich wildlife sanctuary.

The Landing at Hamilton | Plan One (Spanish Elevation)

The Landing at Hamilton | Plan One (Spanish Elevation)

An unrivaled passion for excellence and detail is exhibited in each home. The Landing at Hamilton benefits from easy access to recreation, dining, shopping, schools, transportation, and the myriad benefits of living at Hamilton Field in Novato. Pricing begins at approximately $840,000 for the smallest homes and ranges up to approximately $900,000 for the larger homes. There will be four models in up to three elevations, ranging from ~2,432 square feet to ~3,000 square feet.

Click HERE for more.

Novato Real Estate Market Update (January 2010 Home Sales Report)

January 18, 2010

“Give Yourself a Raise. Move to Novato.”

The Novato, California real estate market continues on its journey into recovery. We had 42 sales in December 2010. The average sales price of Novato homes in December 2010 was $634,152. These homes averaged 113 days on market, were about 2,227 sq. ft., and averaged roughly $293 sq. ft. Novato’s absorption rate (e.g., number of months’ inventory of homes for sale based on last month’s sales totals) has dipped to historically low levels — a scant 2.38 months worth of available inventory overall (100 single family homes are currently for sale in Novato).

Below are the percentages of homes in escrow in each of Novato’s major price bands: 

  • 67% of homes priced under $500,000 (74% last month);
  • 66% of homes between $501,000 and $600,000 (65% last month);
  • 42% of homes between $601,000 and $750,000 (53% last month);
  • 33% of homes between $751,000 and $1 million (same as last month);
  • 24% of homes between $1 million and $1.5 million (19% last month);
  • 0% of homes between $1.5 million and up.
Importantly, and in line with recent months, the move-up price bands are exhibiting strength:
  • 23 homes priced under $600,000 sold in December 2009
  • 17 homes priced from $601,00 to $1 million sold in December 2009
  • 10 homes priced from $1 million and up sold in December 2009
Homes in Pointe Marin, Country Club, Hamilton Field, Rush Creek, and Bel Marin Keys generated the most calls and showings this past month. My listing at 94 Maybeck Street, Novato (priced at $842,000) went into escrow after just 10 days on the market. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your Novato neighborhood or if you have any questions about Novato’s many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate (Pacific Union International). It is always my pleasure to be of service.

The Landing at Hamilton Field, located adjacent to South Gate, is scheduled to begin pouring foundations for the model homes (there will be 3 models) in February 2010. The models are expected to open in April 2010, and the first homes will be ready for occupancy in July 2010. Pricing will begin in the mid-$800,000’s. Interest surrounding this new luxury community has been significant. Please call me at (415) 350-9440 for more information.

Hamilton Field Pool Nearly Complete

November 4, 2009

An aging public pool at Hamilton Field, Novato is almost ready for a grand debut after a $5 million renovation. The pool is located across from Hamilton Field’s “The Landing at Hamilton” new home development (which is set to break ground in coming months) and the existing neighborhood of South Gate.

The renovation was approved unanimously by the Novato City Council in November 2007 and final plans were approved in March 2008. The leaky old pool was not compliant with the Americans with Disabilities Act and access to its bathhouse was restricted by the Marin County health department.

The revamped facility at 206 El Bonito Road includes a main pool of 185,000 gallons and a shallow pool of 12,000 gallons. There is new decking, piping, lighting and landscaping plus bathhouses.

Solar power and water leaks that have been fixed will lead to considerable savings compared with costs of the old pool, but the city will have to pay the water bill that was previously paid by the U.S. Coast Guard.

Traditionally, Hamilton Pool has been open Memorial Day through the end of September. If a private operator is signed to a contract, it could be open year-round, Shinault said.

______________________________________

The above information was derived from an article in the Marin Independent Journal, 10/30/09. If you have any questions relating to Novato real estate, call Kyle Frazier at (415) 350-9440.

Kyle Frazier, CRS (Christies’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate | Pacific Union International)

Best Location in South Gate at Hamilton Field (Novato, California)

October 30, 2009

(In Escrow 1/16/10) This is a special home with immutable qualities not found in other South Gate at Hamilton Field listings. Most signifricantly, this gorgeous home is sited adjacent to the wetlands restoration project and has no immediate neighbor to the east or north. Even the neighbor to the west is set back — a very rare combination. Located at 94 Maybeck Street, this home features 5 bedrooms and 3 baths (with a bed and bath downstairs), a chef’s kitchen, and a large yard with lots of grass and tasteful landscaping.

Live and thrive in Hamilton Field’s coveted South Gate neighborhood in the most rarely available location (a corner lot on the wetlands). Few South Gate homes on the levee have come to market in the past 3 years. This is your chance!

Great Room configuration. Kitchen with granite counters, chef’s island, breakfast bar, and work station. The potential for four spacious bedrooms upstairs (note that one room, which is very big, does not have a closet) and 3 Baths. Downstairs also has a bedroom and full bathroom. Dining Room with vaulted ceilings, Living Room, Laundry Room, and more. The luxurious Master Suite provides views across the Bayside open space and watershed.

Facts, Features, and Amenities:

  • Contemporary home on the levee, set back from the street
  • No rear or immediate northern neighbors
  • 5 Bedrooms, 3 Baths, 2-car attached garage
  • Master Bedroom with his-and-hers walk in closet and large master bath
  • Formal Dining Room with vaulted ceiling opens to Living Room
  • Chef’s kitchen with island, ample storage space, and granite counters, 5-burner gas range, built-in microwave, breakfast nook and work station, and pantry
  • Utility/Laundry Room
  • Fabulous views toward The Bay from upstairs
  • Gorgeous landscaping with large grassy areas in the front, side, and back yards and mature trees
  • Vegetable garden patch
  • Fireplace with slate surround and custom mantle
  • Media center built-ins in Family Room
  • Wired for internet, cable, and phone
  • Fire suppression sprinklers throughout home
  • Automated landscape and lawn irrigation system
  • Backs to open space with direct access to the proposed Bay Trail
  • Close to all Hamilton amenities: South Gate Park, Pool, YMCA, Public Library, Art Museum, Café, Hangars, Little League, Soccer Fields, Racquetball Courts, Tennis Courts, Basketball Courts, Hamilton Landing businesses, Hamilton Marketplace, skateboard park, and Gymnasium
  • Nearby shopping and dining include the newly opened Hamilton Marketplace including Safeway, Pete’s Coffee, Sonoma Latina Grill, La Boulange, Pasta Moto, and Toast
  • Enjoy the quick Southern Novato commute to SF with HWY 101 widening project completed (southbond and northbound carpool lanes both opened)

  • Property Address: 94 Maybeck Street Road, Novato, CA 94949
  • Listing Price: $842,000

If you would like to learn more about this lovely South Gate, Novato home on the levee or set up an appointment to see it, please call Kyle Frazier, the listing agent, at (415) 350-9440.

Kyle Frazier, CRS
Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate

Novato Real Estate Market Update (October 2009 Home Sales Report)

October 15, 2009

Entering into the dormancy season for Marin County real estate, it appears that certain “hotspots” remain — Novato is one of them. In September 2009, 35 Novato homes sold, compared with 38 sales in August 2009. The Novato real estate market derives its strength from entry level home sales. The number of homes actively listed in Novato remains very low compared with the rest of Marin (and the percentage of homes in escrow is much higher than the rest of Marin) because of exceptional demand based on affordability and the ongoing fantastically low interest rates.

“Give Yourself a Raise. Move to Novato.”

While the average sales price of Novato homes rose in August to a remarkable $713,440 (based in large part to the makeup of sales), that number fell back to Earth in September — $646,389. Even so, the psychological impact on buyers waiting for bottom to hit has begun to register. Anecdotally, I can attest that many buyers are looking at the inventory of homes in Novato and acknowledging that prices in the lower price bands are level and that it is increasingly difficult to identify “turnkey” homes under $525,000 — $550,000.

Below are the percentages of homes in escrow in each of Novato’s major price bands:

  • 73% of homes priced under $500,000 (down from 81% last month — due to a flood of 6 homes coming onto market in the last week);
  • 66% of homes between $501,000 and $600,000 (same as last month);
  • 53% of homes between $601,000 and $750,000 (up from 48%);
  • 34% of homes between $751,000 and $1 million (up from 27%);
  • 31% of homes between $1 million and $1.5 million (up from 30%);
  • 0% of homes between $1.5 million and up.
Importantly, and in line with recent months, the move-up price bands are selling as well as the entry level properties:
  • 16 homes priced under $600,000 sold in September 2009
  • 15 homes priced from $601,00 to $1 million sold in September 2009
This trend also coincides with the extraordinary high percentages of homes in escrow. Meanwhile, inventory continues to shrink with just 120 single family homes currently for sale in Novato, CA. Compare this with Mill Valley which has 119 homes actively on the market, yet Mill Valley has about one-quarter the population size of Novato.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Novato homes that sold in September 2009 averaged 121 days on market, were about 2,133 sq. ft., and sold for an average sales price of $646,389 (roughly $313 per sq. ft.). Novato’s absorption rate (e.g., the number of months of inventory currently available in Novato) remains extremely low — 3.4 months of available inventory. In March 2009, we had 7.9 months worth of inventory. Generally speaking, 5-6 months of inventory reflects a balanced market and anything under 4 months, a seller’s market. The percentage of homes in escrow also points strongly to an extreme sellers market in the lower price bands.

Homes in Pointe Marin, Country Club, Hamilton Field, Rush Creek, and Bel Marin Keys generated the most calls and showings this past month.

If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your Novato neighborhood or if you have any questions about Novato’s many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and a Certified Luxury Home Marketing Specialist (CLHMS), with Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane International Real Estate. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Novato Real Estate Market Update (September 2009 Home Sales Report)

September 17, 2009

I have written in past months about the high level of competition in Novato, California’s entry level real estate market. This trend continues into Q3 2009. In August 2009, 38 Novato homes sold. This is down from 47 sales in July and the same as in June. Many of these sold properties were bargain basement homes that were in some of distress. But, the inventory continues its rapid absorption as pent up demand, historically low interest rates, the First Time Homebuyer Credit, and increased affordability carry the day.

Continuing on a trend noted last month, the average sales price of Novato homes rose. In August 2009, the average price for a Novato home was $ 713,440. That is up from $632,078 in July  and from $622,000 in June. While this large bump may be anomolous, the fact it follows a bump last month may prove significant. Certainly, the psychological impact on buyers waiting for bottom to hit may prove significant.

As a result of the above, we believe that the move-up market will continue to improve in Novato — there are clear signs of improvement in this very important market segment. As of today, here are the percentages of homes in escrow in each price band:

  • 81% of homes priced under $500,000 (essentially the same as last month);
  • 66% of homes between $501,000 and $600,000 (up from 61%);
  • 48% of homes between $601,000 and $750,000 (up from 40%);
  • 27% of homes between $751,000 and $1 million (same as last month);
  • 30% of homes between $1 million and $1.5 million (same as last month);
  • 0% of homes between $1.5 million and up (down from 6%).
Interestingly, and in line with recent months, the move-up price bands are selling nearly as well as the entry level properties:
  • 17 homes priced under $600,000 sold in August 2009
  • 16 homes priced from $601,00 to $1 million sold in August 2009
Bucking the norm for this time of year, inventory is actually down from August. There are 127 single family homes currently for sale in Novato, CA (there were 138 in August 2009).
Novato’s absorption rate (e.g., the number of months of inventory currently available in Novato) remains extremely low. In March 2009, we had 7.9 months worth of inventory. This month, our absorption rate has fallen to an unbelievable 3.3 months! Generally speaking, 6 months of inventory reflects a balanced market and anything under 4 months, a seller’s market. It is rumored that more bank owned inventory will be generated later this Fall as banks continue hiring processors and moratoriums are lifted. We will see if this comes to pass and how it affects our market. For now, Novato’s housing market looks quite strong.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

As noted above, 38 Novato homes sold in August 2009. These Novato homes averaged about 83 days on market, were about 2,360 sq. ft., and sold for an average sales price of $713,440 (roughly $305 per sq. ft.). Homes in Pointe Marin, Country Club, Hamilton Field, Rush Creek, and Bel Marin Keys generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you are thinking of buying, please call my office at (415) 350-9440 as I have a long list of people who would like to sell their homes, but because of market conditions are not quite ready to list their home officially. I am also receiving many calls regarding lease-options.

Below is a breakdown of the Novato real estate market by price band:

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

Up to $500K

48

81%

$500K - $600K 38 66%

$600K - $750K

44

48%

$750K - $1 mil.

59

25%

$1 mil. - $1.5 mil.

33

30%

$1.5 mil. & Up

15

6%

If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your Novato neighborhood or if you have any questions about Novato’s many delightful communities, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and Member of The Institute of Luxury Home Marketing, with Christie’s Great Estates | Morgan Lane International Real Estate. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Now that the the HWY 101 widening project has been completed on both north and southbound lanes, the commute through San Rafael is very much improved. Southbound commute traffic is reduced by about 25 minutes. The improved commute will certainly make Novato a preferable choice for those who want more house for the money, yet were scared off the traffic we experienced during the highway construction period. Moreover, the first-time home buyer credit of $8,000 (this is a flat out gift from the government) certainly helps those who qualify. As I tell my clients, “Give Yourself a Raise. Move to Novato.”

Novato Real Estate Market Update (August 2009 Home Sales Report)

August 12, 2009

Last month, for the first time since I began writing Novato monthly updates back in 2006, I stated that it appears that the Novato, CA. market (for single family homes) seems to be improving in two meaningful ways. Certainly, sales have risen from last year and we have several months of increasing sales (as the inventory of short sales and foreclosures is quickly snapped up by motivated buyers).

But, perhaps even more importantly from the perspective of home owners, it also appears that prices at the entry level (e.g., properties priced below $500,000) have bottomed out. As evidenced by the chart below, the 90-day rolling average of Novato home prices has been rising since May 2009. Obviously, higher asking prices do not, ipso facto, result in higher sales prices (some local real estate companies train their agents to give sellers high estimated sales prices in an effort to get any all listings — a major breach of our ethical and fiduciary obligations, in my opinion). But, experts consider this development a leading indicator that market forces are pushing prices higher. I have written in past months about the high level of competition in Novato’s entry level real estate market. This phenomenon also supports the notion that we have hit bottom.

In July 2009, Novato experienced 47 sales (up from 38 in June 2009). Of course, many of these are bargain priced homes such as REO’s or short sales. But, the inventory is rapidly being absorbed. We feel there is extraordinary pent up demand. Perhaps more significantly, the average sales price of Novato homes was $632,078 in July 2009 (up from $622,000 last month, excluding one off the market sale of a $2 million+ home). While a bump of just over 1% may not seem like much, its psychological impact on buyers waiting for bottom may prove significant.

As a result of the above, we believe that the move-up market will continue to improve in Novato — there are clear signs of improvement in this very important market segment. As of today, here are the percentages of homes in escrow in each price band:

  • 82% of homes priced under $500,000 (up from 78%);
  • 61% of homes between $501,000 and $600,000 (up from 57%);
  • 40% of homes between $601,000 and $750,000 (down from 43%);
  • 27% of homes between $751,000 and $1 million (up from 25%);
  • 30% of homes between $1 million and $1.5 million (up from 25%);
  • 6% of homes between $1.5 million and up (down from 15%).

Interestingly, and in line with recent months, the move-up price bands are selling nearly as well as the entry level properties:

  • 27 homes priced under $600,000 sold in July 2009
  • 16 homes priced from $601,00 to $1 million sold in July 2009

There are 138 single family homes currently for sale in Novato, CA (there were 131 in July 2009). Novato’s absorption rate (e.g., the number of months of inventory currently available in Novato) remains extremely low. In March 2009, we had 7.9 months worth of inventory. This month, our absorption rate has fallen to an unbelievable 2.99 months! Absorption rates, along with days on market averages, provide a telling insight into the overall state of the market. Generally speaking, 6 months of inventory reflects a balanced market and anything under 4 months, a seller’s market. And today’s shrinking inventory and exploding sales evidence a pent up demand and reflect the increased affordability of Novato real estate. It is rumored that more bank owned inventory will be generated in the Fall as banks continue hiring processors and moratoriums are lifted. We will see if this comes to pass and how it affects our market.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

As noted above, 47 Novato homes sold in July 2009. These Novato homes averaged about 110 days on market, were about 2,107 sq. ft., and sold for an average sales price of $632,078 (roughly $304 per sq. ft.). Homes in Pointe Marin, Country Club, Hamilton Field, Rush Creek, and Bel Marin Keys generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you are thinking of buying, please call my office at (415) 350-9440 as I have a long list of people who would like to sell their homes, but because of market conditions are not quite ready to list their home officially. I am also receiving many calls regarding lease-options.

Below is a breakdown of the Novato real estate market by price band:

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

Up to $500K

49

82%

$500K - $600K 36 61%

$600K - $750K

47

40%

$750K - $1 mil.

62

27%

$1 mil. - $1.5 mil.

37

30%

$1.5 mil. & Up

18

6%

If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your Novato neighborhood or if you have any questions about Novato’s many delightful neighborhoods, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier. I am a Broker, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), and Member of The Institute of Luxury Home Marketing, with Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Now that the the HWY 101 widening project has been completed on both north and southbound lanes, the commute through San Rafael is very much improved. Southbound commute traffic is reduced by about 25 minutes. The improved commute will certainly make Novato a preferable choice for those who want more house for the money, yet were scared off the traffic we experienced during the highway construction period. Moreover, the first-time home buyer credit of $8,000 (this is a flat out gift from the government) certainly helps those who qualify. As I tell my clients, “Give Yourself a Raise. Move to Novato.”

Novato Real Estate Market Update (July 2009 Home Sales Report)

July 17, 2009

The Novato single family home market seems to be forming a bottom. Prices appear to be leveling out and the percentages of entry level homes in escrow are very high. I know that many foreclosure sales and short sales are getting multiple offers. I have several clients who have faced as many 9 to 20 offers in competition for a single family home. This activity bodes well for sales in the higher price bands.

Moreover, in June 2009, Novato had 38 sales (up from 32 in June 2008). Indeed, this reflects an upward trend over the past few months—May 2009 had 44 sales. Of course, many of these are bargain priced homes such as REO’s or short sales. But, nonetheless, the inventory is rapidly being absorbed as there is extraordinary pent up demand.

Perhaps more significantly, the average sales price of Novato homes jumped up to $666,124 in June 2009. This is an increase from $564,770 in May 2009. While there was one $2 million plus sale (an off market sale), which supported this increase in average sales price, even stripping that outlier sale from the equation, the revised average sales price was over $622,000—a strong bump upwards.

We believe that the move up market has begun to find its legs in Novato and that there are definite signs of improvement in this very important market segment. Interestingly, and in line with recent months, the move-up price bands are selling as well as the entry level price bands:

  • 17 homes priced under $600,000 sold in June 2009
  • 17 homes priced from $601,00 to $1 million sold in June 2009.

As of today, here are the percentages of homes in escrow in each price band:

  • 78% of homes priced under $500,000;
  • 57% of homes between $501,000 and $600,000;
  • 43% of homes between $601,000 and $750,000;
  • 25% of homes between $751,000 and $1 million;
  • 25% of homes between $1 million and $1.5 million;
  • 15% of homes between $1.5 million and up.

There are 131 single family homes currently for sale in Novato, CA (there were 141 in June 2009). Novato’s absorption rate (e.g., the number of months of inventory currently available in Novato) remains extremely low. In March, we had 7.9 months worth of inventory. Last month, the absorption rate fell to an unbelievable 3.04 months. Today, while up a bit to 3.45 months, it remains very low! Absorption rates, along with days on market averages, provide a telling insight into the overall state of the market. And today’s shrinking inventory and exploding sales evidence a pent up demand and reflect the increased affordability of Novato real estate. Also, note below that the 90-day rolling average of Novato home prices has jumped up — I consider this an additional leading indicator that market forces are establishing a bottom.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

As noted above, thirty-eight Novato homes sold in June 2009 (down from 44 in May 2009). These Novato homes averaged about 148 days on market, were about 2,128 sq. ft., and sold for an average sales price of $666,124 (roughly $316 per sq. ft.). Homes in Pointe Marin, Country Club, Hamilton Field, Rush Creek, and Bel Marin Keys generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you are thinking of buying, please call my office at (415) 350-9440 as I have a long list of people who would like to sell their homes, but because of market conditions are not quite ready to list their home officially. I am also receiving many calls regarding lease-options.

Below is a breakdown of the Novato real estate market by price band:

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

Up to $500K

54

78%

$500K - $600K 35 57%

$600K - $750K

43

44%

$750K - $1 mil.

51

25%

$1 mil. - $1.5 mil.

32

25%

$1.5 mil. & Up

20

15%

For an explanation of the importance of the statistic addressing the percentage of “Pending” listings, click HERE. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your neck of the woods or have any questions about Novato’s many delightful neighborhoods, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), with Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Now that the the HWY 101 widening project has been completed on both north and southbound lanes, the commute through San Rafael is very much improved. Southbound commute traffic is reduced by about 25 minutes. The improved commute will certainly make Novato a preferable choice for those who want more house for the money, yet were scared off the traffic we experienced during the highway construction period. Moreover, the first-time home buyer credit of $8,000 (this is a flat out gift from the government) certainly helps those who qualify. As I tell my clients, “Give Yourself a Raise. Move to Novato.”

Novato CA Real Estate Market Update (June 2009 Home Sales Report)

June 12, 2009

There are 141 single family homes are currently for sale in Novato, CA (there were 152 in May 2009, 152 homes for sale in April 2009, and 142 in March 2009). This consistency is interesting although I don’t think much can be imparted from it. What is significant, however, is Novato’s ever shrinking absorption rate (e.g., the number of months of inventory currently available in Novato). Last month I noted that Novato had enough homes to last about 5 months (this is very low for Marin in today’s market) and much lower that the 7.9 months worth of inventory in March 2009. This month, the absorption rate fell to an unbelievable 3.04 months. That is low. Absorption rates, along with days on market averages, provide a telling insight into the overall state of the market. And today’s shrinking inventory and exploding sales I talk more about this below) evidence a pent up demand and reflect the increased affordability of Novato real estate. It is also noteworthy that the absorption rate calculation does not increased “contingent” properties as sold properties. There are another 78 homes in escrow in Novato that are considered active.


As I have noted before, value properties can be found in virtually ALL price ranges. Pricing in most Novato neighborhoods is back down to what it was in 2002-2003. Novato currently has eight active listings priced under $400,000. In addition, there are 16 homes priced under $500,000 (there were 26 last month). Note that available inventory in these price ranges is way down and the percentages of homes in escrow is rising fast. For example, 72% of homes in Novato priced under $500K are in escrow (up from 63% in May 2009); 48% of homes between $500K and $600K; 52% of homes priced between $600K and $750K; 22% of homes between $750K and $1 million; and 22% of homes priced between $1 million and $1.5 million. These are some strong numbers! If you would like to see just how strong, compare any price range in Novato against homes in other Marin County, CA towns and cities.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

My prediction relating to phantom buyers (I’ve been talking about this for a year now) has come true. Here it is: there are LOTS of people who sold over the past couple of years and who have waiting for prices to dip. Fortunately for these folks, interest rates, while they are up a point in the past 6 weeks, remain low by historical standards and so buyers are jumping in. Additionally, the first time home buyer credit is helping first time buyers. And finally, I think people are beginning to realize that inflation is coming (along with significantly higher mortgage interest rates). I’ll bet that this time next year, rates will be at least another point higher (somewhere around 6.5%) and seller financing will be gaining popularity.

Forty-four Novato homes sold in May 2009 (up 43% from April 2009, which saw just 25 sales). These Novato homes averaged about 1496 days on market, were about 1,956 sq. ft., and sold for an average sales price of $564,000 (roughly $299 per sq. ft.). Homes in Pointe Marin, Country Club, Hamilton Field, Rush Creek, and Bel Marin Keys generated the most calls and showings this past month. If you are thinking of buying, please call my office at (415) 350-9440 as I have a long list of people who would like to sell their homes, but because of market conditions are not quite ready to list their home officially. I am also receiving many call regarding lease-options.
 
Below is a breakdown of the Novato real estate market by price band:

Price Range

Total Homes

Pending Listings

Up to $500K

60

72%

$500K - $600K 31 48%

$600K - $750K

52

52%

$750K - $1 mil.

50

22%

$1 mil. - $1.5 mil.

32

22%

$1.5 mil. & Up

22

9%

 

For an explanation of the importance of the statistic addressing the percentage of “Pending” listings, click HERE. If you would like me to run the exact numbers for your neck of the woods or have any questions about Novato’s many delightful neighborhoods, just give me a call at (415) 350-9440. My name is Kyle Frazier, Certified Residential Specialist (CRS), with Morgan Lane Marin Real Estate. It is always my pleasure to be of service.

Now that the the HWY 101 widening project has been completed on both north and southbound lanes, the commute through San Rafael is very much improved. Southbound commute traffic is reduced by about 25 minutes. The improved commute will certainly make Novato a viable choice for those who had sworn it off because of the traffic. Moreover, the first-time home buyer credit of $8,000 (this is a flat out gift from the government) certainly helps those who qualify. As I tell my clients, “Give Yourself a Raise. Move to Novato.”

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